IPL 2022: DC’s chances of qualifying grow, RR still has almost 92% chance – All play-offs in 12 points | Cricket News

With 12 more matches to be played in the league phase of the IPL 2022, there are still 4096 possible combinations of results. That’s less than 8,192 opportunities as of Wednesday, May 11th.
The TOI is considering each of the current 4,096 options (on the morning of May 12) to calculate the chances of individual teams to advance to the playoffs.
From the morning on Thursday 12.05. GT is the only team to qualify for the playoffs and ME the only one officially excluded from the playoffs. Here’s what the different permutations and playoff combinations look like right now:
* MI is out of the playoffs account
*CSKThe chances of taking third or fourth place in points have risen to 4.8%, but to do so they must win their three remaining matches
* Even if CSK finished third or fourth in points, they could miss anywhere between four to seven teams tied for third or two to six teams tied for fourth with 14 points.
*KKRThe chances for fourth place in the number of points increased slightly to 7%, but like CSK, the best I can hope for is third place with four to seven teams fighting or tied fourth with two to six teams fighting
*DC they have significantly increased their chances of entering the top four in points by 40.6%, but cannot be at the top of the points table
*PBKS‘the chances of being in the top four have also improved to 26.6%, but, like DC, they can no longer be at the top of the points scale
*SRHThe chances of finishing in the first four places by points are slightly less than 23.4%, and even they cannot finish at the top of the points table
*RCBThe chances of entering one of the first four places by points fell to 88.7%. In the worst case, he will finish sixth in points
*RR, despite losing on Wednesday, have a 91.8% chance of finishing in the top four by points. But they can still fall even to a joint sixth place if they lose the remaining games
*LSG in his first IPL season he will also surely reach the top four spots. But he could lose in the playoffs by finishing at 16 points even in the top five for second place, four for third place or three for fourth place
* GT, also in its first season of the IPL, has secured qualifiers and can’t do anything worse than four draws for first place in which it finishes in fourth place in terms of net running rate
* In short, you bet GT, LSG, RR and RCB will make it to the playoffs, and DC, PBKS and SRH have a relatively small chance of ousting RR or RCB in the playoffs. Everything else would be far away
How we calculate these probabilities:
We have reviewed all 4096 possible combinations of results from the 12 remaining matches in the league phase. We assumed that for any match, the chances of winning either side are equal. We then looked at how many combinations each team put in one of the top four spots. This gives us our probability number. Take a concrete example, out of 4,096 possible combinations of results, RCB finished from first to fourth in points in 3,632 combinations. This means that the chance is 88.7%. We do not take into account net labor rates or “no results” because it is impossible to predict this in advance.
Return to our updated predictions on Friday (May 13th) morning, which will take into account the results of Thursday’s match.


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