IPL 2022: GT secures qualifiers, who will join them in Final 4? All possibilities of playoff in 12 points Cricket News

With 13 more matches to be played in the league phase of the IPL 2022, there are as many as 8,192 possible combinations of results left.
The TOI is considering each of these options to calculate the chances of individual teams entering the playoffs. From the morning of Wednesday, May 11, GT is the only team to officially qualify for the playoffs and ME the only one officially eliminated from the playoffs. Here’s what the IPL 2022 playoff options look like right now:
* MI is out of the playoffs account
*CSKThe chances for the first four places in terms of the number of points remain at a low 3.4%, but in order to stay in the competition they must win in their three remaining matches
* However, CSK’s chances of finishing third are just 0.3% and include a tie between four and seven teams with 14 points
*KKRThe chances of getting into the top four by points remain slim at 5.9% and can’t get any better than a joint third place with anywhere between four and seven teams
*PBKS have a 25% chance of reaching fourth, third or even second together, but can no longer hope for top of the points scale
*SRHThe chances of finishing in one of the first four places by points remain at 21.1%. DCThe chances are only slightly higher than 23%. No team can be at the top of the points scale
* The difference in the chances of the two teams despite the same points and the number of games is because of who they meet in their remaining games and how it affects the final standings
*RCBThe chances of entering one of the first four places in terms of points remain at 89.6%. In the worst case, he will finish sixth in points
*RRThe chances of placing among the top four remain at 95.9%. I can’t be worse than the sixth even if they lose all the remaining matches
*LSG in his first season of the IPL he will surely reach one of the four best places by points after the championship phase. But they could lose in the playoffs if they lose their remaining games. That would leave him at 16 points and a possible four-way tie for third place or a two-way or three for fourth place
* GT, also in its first IPL season, has secured qualifiers and can’t go any worse than a triple tie for second place in which it finishes fourth in net running rate or pure third place
* In short, you bet that LSG, GT, RR and RCB will enter the playoffs with PBKS, DC and SRH, respectively, with a relatively small chance of overtaking RR or RCB in the playoffs.
How we calculate these probabilities:
We looked at all 8,192 possible combinations of results from the 13 remaining games in the league phase. We assumed that for any match, the chances of winning either side are equal. Then we look at how many combinations put each team in one of the top four places by points. This gives us our probability number. Take a concrete example, out of 8,192 possible combinations of results, RR ends from first to fourth in points in 7,856 combinations. This means a 95.9% chance. We do not take into account net labor rates or “no results” because it is impossible to predict this in advance.
Return to our updated predictions on Thursday (May 12th) morning, which will take into account the results of Wednesday’s match.


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